Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.816218 0.945415 1.085355 1.247807 1.430802 1.630147 1.863315
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.643681 0.826516 1.042024 1.312998 1.642659 2.028644 2.512536
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.519326 0.729033 0.994693 1.351704 1.814117 2.387562 3.146473
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.447601 0.678324 0.989026 1.430300 2.031813 2.812907 3.891755
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.368694 0.600766 0.931689 1.426221 2.132251 3.087515 4.457526
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.304791 0.531751 0.873110 1.407605 2.203256 3.319932 4.975441
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.256221 0.476705 0.825208 1.394773 2.275329 3.552330 5.501968
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.225313 0.444407 0.806530 1.421277 2.403736 3.869589 6.164782
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.197882 0.413051 0.784282 1.437644 2.514844 4.165097 6.809927
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.173503 0.382822 0.759317 1.445270 2.610124 4.439574 7.436075
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.156823 0.364188 0.751645 1.480008 2.750057 4.789257 8.194041
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.139213 0.340619 0.731715 1.490310 2.848251 5.076471 8.867354
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.116902 0.303796 0.683051 1.445190 2.850170 5.211900 9.314028
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107244 0.292855 0.683258 1.490510 3.013989 5.624363 10.232945
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.097412 0.279717 0.677256 1.522966 3.156464 6.008393 11.124282
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093023 0.278767 0.696306 1.605909 3.396922 6.572614 12.344193
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.081930 0.259027 0.672467 1.599883 3.469418 6.847282 13.084097
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.071243 0.238092 0.643021 1.578773 3.510361 7.066700 13.737261
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.062435 0.220322 0.618220 1.564403 3.562178 7.306614 14.435012
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.057221 0.211688 0.613794 1.593583 3.702264 7.714354 15.447825
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.051952 0.201765 0.604868 1.611617 3.820369 8.086397 16.411717
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.046786 0.191004 0.592354 1.620022 3.918577 8.425046 17.328427
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.043475 0.185526 0.592739 1.658342 4.081938 8.895357 18.506228